Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells | 0.40 |
| chemistry Open Targets | a small-molecule pocket | 0.60 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field | 1.00 |
| literature PubMed | no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet | 1.00 |
| pathways Reactome | 8 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic | 1.00 |
Knock down and overexpress CTSV in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure LRRK2 kinase activity (pT73-Rab10) and lysosome position and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.
- Cell type
- a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
- Direction
- Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
- Molecular readout
- LRRK2 kinase activity (pT73-Rab10) and lysosome position
- Functional readout
- dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
- Rule-out
- If neither arm moves LRRK2 kinase activity (pT73-Rab10) by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
- Lab request
- CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of CTSV in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: LRRK2 kinase activity (pT73-Rab10) and lysosome position; dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.
Sealed predictions
- CTSV in dopamine neurons, braak+0.86 (p 0.003) → +0.30 (p 0.428)receipt 11988
Swarm cases
receipt 11988: CTSV in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample +0.47 (p 0.049, n 18), 95% CI +0.01 to +0.77. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: +0.51 (p 0.032, n 18). holds up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.47 (p 0.047, n 18). not the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range +0.41 to +0.62, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.47 (p 0.049, n 18). robust.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CTSV in dopamine neurons.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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