Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CTSD

cathepsin D

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
47 Parkinson's papers of 8510.49
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2399

Sealed predictions

  1. CTSD in dopamine neurons, braak+0.08 (p 0.833) → +0.81 (p 0.008)receipt 2407

In the sealed studies

Swarm cases

receipt 2407: CTSD in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.54 (p 0.021, n 18), 95% CI +0.10 to +0.80. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.62 (p 0.0057, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.56 (p 0.016, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.48 to +0.65, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.54 (p 0.021, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CTSD in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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