Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CTLA4

cytotoxic T-lymphocyte associated protein 4

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (t-cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: quavonlimab, zalifrelimab, cadonilimab +30.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
21 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.96
literature
PubMed
8 Parkinson's papers of 15,2710.71
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6835

Sealed predictions

  1. CTLA4 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.58 (p 0.104) → +0.34 (p 0.373)receipt 6844

Swarm cases

receipt 6844: CTLA4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.949, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.11 (p 0.658, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.14 to +0.10, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.949, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CTLA4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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