Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CSF3

colony stimulating factor 3

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (endometrial secretory cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.50
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
5 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.84
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 4890.85
pathways
Reactome
5 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6092

Sealed predictions

  1. CSF3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.62 (p 0.078) → -0.47 (p 0.201)receipt 6099

Swarm cases

receipt 6099: CSF3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.48 (p 0.044, n 18), 95% CI -0.77 to -0.02. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.45 (p 0.062, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.67 (p 0.0022, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.61 to -0.41, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.48 (p 0.044, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CSF3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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