Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CRELD1

CRELD disulfide isomerase 1

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-25; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in brain inhibitory neurons (45 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10121

Sealed predictions

  1. CRELD1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.22 (p 0.563) → -0.34 (p 0.367)receipt 10129

Swarm cases

receipt 10129: CRELD1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.633, n 18), 95% CI -0.56 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.04 (p 0.867, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.19 (p 0.455, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.23 to +0.01, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.633, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: +0.63 (p 0.0055, n 18) vs -0.12 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CRELD1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up CRELD1 · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.22 p 0.424 (needs p < 2.1e-4)

Receipts

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