Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CP

ceruloplasmin

translation score 0.31, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.12 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
11 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.93
literature
PubMed
384 Parkinson's papers of 96,4400.22
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2346

Sealed predictions

  1. CP in dopamine neurons, braak-0.11 (p 0.785) → +0.19 (p 0.630)receipt 2354

Swarm cases

receipt 2354: CP in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18), 95% CI -0.39 to +0.54. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.12 (p 0.627, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.00 (p 0.990, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.26, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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