Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CLU

clusterin

translation score 0.44, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody: custirsen, custirsen sodium0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
35 Parkinson's papers of 1,5400.53
pathways
Reactome
5 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3882

Sealed predictions

  1. CLU in dopamine neurons, braak-0.59 (p 0.096) → +0.78 (p 0.013)receipt 3890

Swarm cases

receipt 3890: CLU in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.10 (p 0.690, n 18), 95% CI -0.38 to +0.54. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.06 (p 0.807, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.13 (p 0.597, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.23, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.10 (p 0.690, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CLU in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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