Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CIDEC

cell death inducing DFFA like effector c

translation score 0.34, read 2026-10-29; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (enterocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 2800.91
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 13550

Sealed predictions

  1. CIDEC in dopamine neurons, braak-0.53 (p 0.145) → -0.47 (p 0.207)receipt 13557

Swarm cases

receipt 13557: CIDEC in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.44 (p 0.066, n 18), 95% CI -0.75 to +0.03. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.42 (p 0.086, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.46 (p 0.056, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.56 to -0.37, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.44 (p 0.066, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CIDEC in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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