Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CGA

glycoprotein hormones, alpha polypeptide

translation score 0.33, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.35 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (syncytiotrophoblasts)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
42 Parkinson's papers of 7,1450.51
pathways
Reactome
8 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0893

Sealed predictions

  1. CGA in dopamine neurons, braak+0.60 (p 0.089) → +0.11 (p 0.784)receipt 0899

Swarm cases

receipt 0899: CGA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.42 (p 0.082, n 18), 95% CI -0.06 to +0.74. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.34 (p 0.170, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.42 (p 0.084, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.35 to +0.58, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.42 (p 0.082, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CGA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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