Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CFP

complement factor properdin

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-24; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in monocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
28 Parkinson's papers of 3,8250.56
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8768

Sealed predictions

  1. CFP in astrocytes, braak-0.50 (p 0.168) → +0.06 (p 0.879)receipt 8774
  2. CFP in dopamine neurons, braak-0.48 (p 0.190) → +0.06 (p 0.874)receipt 8775

Swarm cases

receipt 8775: CFP in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.365, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.27. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.39 (p 0.111, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.33 to -0.12, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.365, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CFP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 8774: CFP in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.19 (p 0.460, n 18), 95% CI -0.60 to +0.31. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.15 (p 0.555, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.31 to -0.06, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.19 (p 0.460, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CFP in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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