Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CEL

carboxyl ester lipase

translation score 0.36, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.50
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
10 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.92
literature
PubMed
33 Parkinson's papers of 4,1390.54
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12159

Sealed predictions

  1. CEL in dopamine neurons, braak-0.26 (p 0.499) → -0.21 (p 0.584)receipt 12166

Swarm cases

receipt 12166: CEL in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.37 (p 0.127, n 18), 95% CI -0.72 to +0.11. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.179, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.46 (p 0.055, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.50 to -0.29, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.37 (p 0.127, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CEL in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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