Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CDC20

cell division cycle 20

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-29; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 1,8140.79
pathways
Reactome
20 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 13841

Sealed predictions

  1. CDC20 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.16 (p 0.685) → -0.38 (p 0.316)receipt 13847

Swarm cases

receipt 13847: CDC20 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.13 (p 0.621, n 18), 95% CI -0.56 to +0.36. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.11 (p 0.677, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.21 (p 0.403, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.26 to -0.03, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.13 (p 0.621, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CDC20 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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