Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BMPR2

bone morphogenetic protein receptor type 2

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.08 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: dibotermin alfa, eptotermin alfa0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 1,3050.82
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly growth signalling0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3463

Sealed predictions

  1. BMPR2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.36 (p 0.347) → -0.27 (p 0.474)receipt 3472

Swarm cases

receipt 3472: BMPR2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.08 (p 0.767, n 18), 95% CI -0.41 to +0.52. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.08 (p 0.748, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.04 to +0.16, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.08 (p 0.767, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BMPR2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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