Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BCAP31

B cell receptor associated protein 31

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 740.85
pathways
Reactome
5 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2748

Sealed predictions

  1. BCAP31 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.05 (p 0.892) → +0.06 (p 0.873)receipt 2755

Swarm cases

receipt 2755: BCAP31 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.07 (p 0.787, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.41. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.09 (p 0.709, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.10 (p 0.690, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.18 to +0.06, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.07 (p 0.787, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BCAP31 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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