Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AVPR1B

arginine vasopressin receptor 1B

translation score 0.38, read 2026-10-29; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (corticotrophs)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: desmopressin acetate, nelivaptan, lypressin +40.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 2 stopped0.20
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 13897

Sealed predictions

  1. AVPR1B in dopamine neurons, braak+0.12 (p 0.767) → -0.80 (p 0.010)receipt 13905

Swarm cases

receipt 13905: AVPR1B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.43 (p 0.074, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.36 to -0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AVPR1B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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