Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AURKA

aurora kinase A

translation score 0.58, read 2026-10-16; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 1 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.50 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: enmd-2076, tas-119, sns-314 +160.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
8 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90
proposal for AURKA, translation score 0.58

Knock down and overexpress AURKA in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.

Cell type
a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
Molecular readout
proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein
Functional readout
dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
Rule-out
If neither arm moves proteasome activity by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of AURKA in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein; dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. AURKA in dopamine neurons, braak-0.27 (p 0.485) → -0.11 (p 0.784)receipt 0235

Swarm cases

receipt 0235: AURKA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.22 (p 0.389, n 18), 95% CI -0.62 to +0.28. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.14 (p 0.579, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.14 (p 0.579, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.35 to -0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.22 (p 0.389, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AURKA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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