Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ATP13A4

ATPase 13A4

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-28; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in alveolar cells type 10.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 250.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12969

Sealed predictions

  1. ATP13A4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.47 (p 0.202) → +0.22 (p 0.565)receipt 12977
  2. ATP13A4 in astrocytes, braak+0.45 (p 0.219) → -0.42 (p 0.255)receipt 12976

Swarm cases

receipt 12977: ATP13A4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.45 (p 0.063, n 18), 95% CI -0.03 to +0.76. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.42 (p 0.086, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.38 (p 0.116, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.37 to +0.60, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.45 (p 0.063, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATP13A4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 12976: ATP13A4 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.969, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.10 (p 0.683, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.21 (p 0.403, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.13, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.969, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATP13A4 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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