Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ATF2

activating transcription factor 2

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
12 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
11 Parkinson's papers of 1,8440.67
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4068

Sealed predictions

  1. ATF2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.37 (p 0.334) → +0.28 (p 0.459)receipt 4076

Swarm cases

receipt 4076: ATF2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.35 (p 0.150, n 18), 95% CI -0.14 to +0.70. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.40 (p 0.103, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.46 (p 0.055, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.28 to +0.49, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.35 (p 0.150, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in oligodendrocytes: +0.72 (p 7.0e-4, n 18) vs +0.35 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATF2 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up ATF2 · oligodendrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.90 p 0.0014 (needs p < 4.8e-4)

Receipts

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