Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ASXL3

ASXL transcriptional regulator 3

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
genetic association 0.31 (overall 0.19)0.31
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including other brain neurons; strongest in pituitary stem cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2057

Sealed predictions

  1. ASXL3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.35 (p 0.361) → -0.11 (p 0.777)receipt 2063

Swarm cases

receipt 2063: ASXL3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.15 (p 0.544, n 18), 95% CI -0.58 to +0.34. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.14 (p 0.573, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.18 (p 0.471, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.25 to -0.03, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.15 (p 0.544, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ASXL3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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