Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARSA

arylsulfatase A

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.08 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: atidarsagene autotemcel0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
20 Parkinson's papers of 9340.60
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3478

Sealed predictions

  1. ARSA in dopamine neurons, braak-0.11 (p 0.773) → -0.69 (p 0.041)receipt 3487

Swarm cases

receipt 3487: ARSA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.45 (p 0.060, n 18), 95% CI -0.76 to +0.02. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.36 (p 0.140, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.38 (p 0.123, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.56 to -0.39, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.45 (p 0.060, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARSA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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