Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AP3D1

adaptor related protein complex 3 subunit delta 1

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.43 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0464

Sealed predictions

  1. AP3D1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.21 (p 0.586) → -0.82 (p 0.007)receipt 0471

Swarm cases

receipt 0471: AP3D1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.57 (p 0.013, n 18), 95% CI -0.82 to -0.14. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.71 to -0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.57 (p 0.013, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AP3D1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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