Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AP3B1

adaptor related protein complex 3 subunit beta 1

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-16; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.47 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 1040.85
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0290

Sealed predictions

  1. AP3B1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.29 (p 0.443) → +0.23 (p 0.545)receipt 0296

Swarm cases

receipt 0296: AP3B1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18), 95% CI -0.24 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.18 to +0.41, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AP3B1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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