Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AGAP1

ArfGAP with GTPase domain, ankyrin repeat and PH domain 1

translation score 0.38, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in cone photoreceptor cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 530.85
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7139

Sealed predictions

  1. AGAP1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.28 (p 0.473) → -0.72 (p 0.028)receipt 7147
  2. AGAP1 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.14 (p 0.716) → -0.26 (p 0.502)receipt 7146

Swarm cases

receipt 7147: AGAP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.44 (p 0.069, n 18), 95% CI -0.75 to +0.04. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.40 (p 0.097, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.43 (p 0.075, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.57 to -0.36, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.44 (p 0.069, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AGAP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 7146: AGAP1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.19 (p 0.460, n 18), 95% CI -0.60 to +0.31. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.840, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.05 (p 0.854, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.36 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.19 (p 0.460, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AGAP1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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