Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ADRA1A

adrenoceptor alpha 1A

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.38 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in hepatocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: phentolamine mesylate, norepinephrine, phentolamine +631.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
44 Parkinson's trials, 7 stopped0.87
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 1850.85
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0688

Sealed predictions

  1. ADRA1A in dopamine neurons, braak+0.74 (p 0.024) → +0.37 (p 0.334)receipt 0696
  2. ADRA1A in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.05 (p 0.893) → -0.44 (p 0.237)receipt 0695

Swarm cases

receipt 0696: ADRA1A in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.52 (p 0.027, n 18), 95% CI +0.07 to +0.79. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.52 (p 0.027, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.55 (p 0.018, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.46 to +0.64, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.52 (p 0.027, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADRA1A in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0695: ADRA1A in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.21 (p 0.393, n 18), 95% CI -0.62 to +0.28. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.15 (p 0.549, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.33 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.21 (p 0.393, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADRA1A in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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