Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ABCD3

ATP binding cassette subfamily D member 3

translation score 0.44, read 2026-10-25; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 1840.85
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9574

Sealed predictions

  1. ABCD3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.19 (p 0.630) → +0.65 (p 0.058)receipt 9582

Swarm cases

receipt 9582: ABCD3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.19 (p 0.460, n 18), 95% CI -0.31 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.18 (p 0.465, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.13 (p 0.615, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.08 to +0.34, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.460, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ABCD3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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