Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AATF

apoptosis antagonizing transcription factor

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12109

Sealed predictions

  1. AATF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.26 (p 0.493) → -0.54 (p 0.129)receipt 12117

Swarm cases

receipt 12117: AATF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18), 95% CI -0.79 to -0.05. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.43 (p 0.074, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.42 (p 0.086, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.68 to -0.45, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AATF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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